Government’s asylum policies projected to make big cuts to backlog and costs
What was the previous asylum backlog projection?
- Under the previous government’s policy framework, the asylum backlog was forecasted to reach 177,063 people by January 2025.
What impact did the new Government’s decision have on the backlog?
- The new Government’s move to scrap the Rwanda Plan and resume processing asylum claims lowered the backlog forecast to 118,063 at the beginning of 2025, saving £240.7m.
What are the implications of the backlog clearance under the previous government?
- Between July 2023 and March 2024, there was a significant increase in refugee households facing homelessness after getting evicted post a positive asylum decision.
Analysis of the situation
What do the latest projections show?
- The decision by the new Government could reduce the backlog by 59,000 people by January 2025, potentially saving up to £240 million in asylum support.
What is the expected outcome for asylum claims processing?
- Based on initial decision grant rates, more than half of the backlog may be granted refugee status with proper processing, with seven out of ten Channel crossers considered as refugees if claims are processed.
Challenges and Recommendations
What are the key recommendations for the government?
- The Refugee Council suggests 22 key recommendations, including repealing specific acts, simplifying frameworks, and bolstering safe travel routes for refugees.
What concerns are highlighted regarding the appeals process?
- An increase in asylum decisions has led to a surge in appeals, necessitating a plan to enhance tribunal capacity to handle the influx.
Summary
The new Government’s actions could lead to significant reductions in the asylum backlog, costs, and potential homelessness among refugees. While initial progress has been made, there is a need for a comprehensive strategy to ensure a fair, orderly, and efficient asylum system in the UK.
Source: www.refugeecouncil.org.uk